Time:2024-09-14
In recent years, the acceptance of the linkage five axis market has been increasing, and the market positioning five axis "3+2 type" has tended to shrink. The demand for positioning five axis "4+1 type" market is also relatively low.
On the one hand, from the user side, in the past, most customers, especially those in the automotive industry, only needed to apply positioning processing to meet their requirements. However, considering the future demand for machining components, the merging of machining processes, and the improvement of machining technology capabilities, there is often a preference for purchasing linked five axis machining technology, which has gradually increased the market acceptance of linked five axis machining technology.
On the other hand, in terms of market size, from 2018 to 2023, the market size of five axis machine tools has maintained continuous growth, and the compound growth rate of five axis machine tools is higher than the overall growth rate of CNC metal cutting machine tools. Five axis machine tools have a strong development momentum in the manufacturing industry and are increasingly favored by more and more industries.
China's five axis machine tools are mainly concentrated in industries such as aerospace, military, molds, automobiles, and ships. Currently, domestic demand continues to grow. MIR predicts that the market size of China's five axis machining centers will exceed 10 billion yuan by 2024, and may reach 20 billion yuan after 2028, entering a new stage of growth. The market size will continue to grow in the next five years.
Although industries in China such as aerospace, military industry, shipbuilding, and electronics that urgently need five axis linkage CNC machine tools are facing the challenge of "bottlenecks", this is also an opportunity for domestic high-end five axis machine tool enterprises to replace them with domestic counterparts.
From the perspective of manufacturers, the sales performance of domestic brands will significantly improve in 2023. In the context of reduced domestic demand, Beijing Jingdiao, Kede CNC, and Evermi have all achieved high-speed growth, and in some application scenarios, the enhancement of domestic substitution is particularly evident. The performance of domestic five axis manufacturers in 2023 has fully demonstrated their enormous potential in future development and is expected to become an important force in the industry.
As we have mentioned, five axis linkage CNC technology is a symbol of a country's level of production equipment automation technology. However, from the "Batumi List" to the "Wassenaar Agreement", developed Western countries have implemented strict technology blockades against China, especially in high-end industries such as aerospace, weapons, and ships where five axis linkage CNC machine tools are widely used, which have faced further technological blockades in recent years and brought huge challenges to the industry.
Taking a well-known international five axis machine tool manufacturer as an example, its factory that originally planned to produce linked five axes stopped due to various obstacles and instead produced five axis machine tools in the form of "3+2" or "4+1". This also indirectly shows that other countries' blockade of China's five axis technology is "increasing and decreasing".